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Monday, February 13, 2017
Calculating GDP
Important Formulas to Know
- GDP = C + I + G + Xn: The expenditure approach
- GDP = W (wages) + R (rental income) + I (interest income) + P (profits) + S (statistical adjustment): The income approach
- Budget Surplus/ Deficit : gov. purchases + gov transfer payments - gov tax collection
- Trade Surplus/ Defecit; Exports- Imports
- National Income : (Compensation of employees + rental income + interest income + Proprietors income + corporate profits) or (GDP - indirect business taxes - depreciation - net foreign Factor payment )
- Disposable personal Income: National income - personal household taxes + government transfer payments
- Net Domestic product : GDP- Depreciation
- Net national Product: GNP - depreciation
- Gross Investment: Net Investment + depreciation
Depreciation: loss of value in capital equipment due to normal wear and tear
Included and Excluded in GDP
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Included in GDP
Consumer Spending (C)
Gross Private Investment Spending (IG)
Government Spending (G)
Net Exports (XN)
Unemployment
February 9 2017
- Unemployment is the percent of people in labor force want a job but are not working
- Labor force = unemployed + employed
Considered employed
- Work at least one hour per month
- Temporarily absent from work
- Part time workers
Not in labor force
- Children
- Those in mental institution
- Those incarcerated
- Retirees
- Suzy homemakers or stay-at-home parents
- Military personnel
- Those discouraged psychologically/mentally
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Formula for unemployment rate = # of unemployed / total labor force x 100
- 4 to 5% = standard unemployment
Four types of unemployment
- Frictional unemployment or temporary unemployment: “in between jobs”. Qualified workers with transferable skills but aren't working.
- ex: high school/college students looking for a job
- Seasonal unemployment: specific type of frictional unemployment due to time of year and the nature of job
- Ex: Santa Claus/Easter bunny impersonators
- Structural unemployment: changes structure of labor force, makes some skills obsolete. Workers do not have transferable skills. Permanent loss of these jobs is called creative destruction.
- Cyclical unemployment: unemployment that results from economic downturns/recession.
- As demand for goods and services falls, demand for labor falls and workers are fired.
Two types of three unemployment are unavoidable
- Frictional
- Structural
- Together they make up the natural rates of unemployment (NRU). We are at full employment if we have only the NRU.
Frictional + structural = NRU ( 4-5%) - full employment
- Full employment means no cyclical unemployment
- Okuns Law: When unemployment rises 1% above the natural rate, GDP falls by about 2%
Inflation
February 6 2017
Inflation
- Inflation is a general rise in price level
- It reduces the purchasing power of money
- Purchasing power is the amount of goods and services that money buys
- Ex: it takes two dollars to buy today what one dollar buy in 1982
- The ideal inflation rate is 2 - 3%
3 causes of Inflation
- Printing too much money
- Demand- pull inflation (demand pulls up prices)
- Demand increases but supply stays the same. The result is a shortage driving prices up.
- Cost-push inflation
- Higher production costs increases prices
Inflation formula = current year price index - base year price index / base year price index x 100
Deflation: decline in general price level
- Disinflation occurs when inflation rate itself the declines
- The rule of 70 is used to calculate the number of years it will take for the price level to double at any given rate of inflation.
- Formula = 70 / annual rate of inflation
- Real interest rate: amount of money borrowed. % increase in purchasing power. (adjusted for inflation)
- Formula: nominal interest rate - expected inflation
- Nominal interest rate: percent increase in money that borrowers pay back to the lender (not adjusting for inflation)
Hurt about inflation
- Lenders - people who loan out money at fixed interest rates
- Savers
- People with fixed incomes
Helped by Inflation
- Borrowers - people borrow money
- A business where the price of the product increases faster than the price of resources
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Nominal and Real GDP
February 3, 2017
Nominal and real GDP
Nominal GDP
- Value of output produced in current year prices
- formula = price x quantity
- Can increased from year to year if either output/prices increase.
Real GDP
- Value of output produced in constant base year prices
- Formula = price x quantity
- Can increase from year to year if only the output increases
Also:
- In the base year, current price will always be equal to constant price
- In base year nominal and real GDP are the same
- In the years after the base year, nominal GDP will exceed real GDP
- In years before base year, real GDP will exceed nominal GDP
GDP Deflator
- Price index used to adjust from nominal to real GDP
- In base year GDP deflator will always equal 100
- For years after base year, GDP deflator is greater than 100
- Years before base year, GDP deflator is less than 100
- Formula: nominal GDP/ real GDP x 100
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
- Measures inflation by tracking changes in the price of a market basket of goods.
- Formula = Price of Market Basket in current year / price of market baskets in base year x 100
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